Léger poll: the CAQ drops in Quebec, Trudeau’s Liberals down nationally
Posted September 27, 2023 12:13 pm.
Last Updated September 27, 2023 12:15 pm.
François Legault’s Coalition avenir Québec (CAQ) is losing some popularity, especially in Quebec City, suggests a new Léger poll published Wednesday in Québecor media.
The poll was conducted online among 1,028 Quebecers between September 22 and 25. It suggests that the CAQ has 34 per cent support, a drop of three points since last month, while the Parti québécois (PQ) is in second place at 22 per cent.
Québec solidaire (QS) would follow with 17 per cent of voting intentions, the Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) would get 14 per cent and Éric Duhaime’s Conservative Party of Quebec (PCQ) would close the gap with 12 per cent.
In the Capitale-Nationale region, the CAQ would have lost ten points compared to last month, according to the poll, which comes just a few days before the closely watched by-election in Jean-Talon.
In a press scrum Wednesday at the National Assembly, PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon welcomed the poll results, which he said showed that the CAQ is not “unbeatable”.
“We’re encouraged,” he said. What’s clear is that there’s only one party that has a chance of beating the CAQ in Jean-Talon, and that’s definitely the Parti québécois.”
Federal Conservatives maintain lead over Liberals
In Ottawa, a parallel survey by Léger revealed similar news for Trudeau’s Liberals. The Conservatives have maintained their summer lead in the polls.
Léger released the findings of an online survey conducted over the weekend with more than 1,600 Canadian respondents.
Among decided voters, Tory Leader Pierre Poilievre’s party has the support of 39 per cent of respondents, which is 12 points ahead of the federal Liberals.
The poll suggests a shift of just a few points toward the Tories from a month before, while the Bloc Quebecois has fallen seven points to tie the Liberals at 29 per cent support among Quebec voters.
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The polling took place in the days following a bombshell announcement by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau alleging that the Indian government could be behind the killing of a Sikh leader near Vancouver.
Results were weighted for demographics, language and region, and cannot be assigned a margin of error because online surveys are not considered truly random samples.
The online polling was conducted September 22 to 24, shortly after the Liberals unveiled new housing policies after bleeding support to the Tories, who have maintained a lead in Léger polling since late May.
The new results involved a Canadian sample of 1,652 people, and of those eligible to vote, nearly 16 per cent said they were undecided.
The poll found 26 per cent of respondents believe Poilievre would be the best person to serve as prime minister, compared with 20 per cent opting for Trudeau and 14 per cent choosing NDP leader Jagmeet Singh.
Just one-third of those respondents say they’re satisfied with Trudeau’s government, a result similar to that of a month ago.
In that time, the percentage of those surveyed reporting concern over losing their job has dropped five points, to 33 per cent.
