Quebec votes 2026: New poll shows PQ holding lead, Conservatives and Liberals neck-and-neck
Posted September 21, 2026 7:41 am.
As the election campaign enters its final two weeks, a new poll released Monday shows that the Parti Québécois (PQ) maintaining its lead while the Conservatives (PCQ) were gaining in momentum to go neck-to-neck with the Liberals (PLQ).
In a poll by Radio-Canada–Segma Recherche, the PQ leads with 29 per cent of votes, followed by the Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) with 22 per cent, similar to other polls in recent weeks.
The PLQ led by Charles Milliard received 19 per cent of support — in a statistical tie with Éric Duhaime’s PCQ which received 18 per cent of support. About 12 per cent of Quebecers said they would vote for Québec solidaire (QS).
Despite the PQ leading the overall voter intention, only 30 per cent of voters said they will vote Yes if a referendum was held on Quebec’s separation from Canada, including about two-thirds of voters aged 65. Only about 45 per cent of PQ supporters said they will No on such a referendum.
More than a quarter of Quebecers said they were not convinced by any of the leaders when it comes who was best-suited to shepherd the economy through the ongoing U.S.-Canada tariff war. However, outgoing Premier and CAQ Leader Christine Fréchette led the pack receiving 23 per cent of the vote and PQ Leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon coming in at second with 19 per cent of the vote.
The latest survey also showed another generational divide with more than half the voters between 18-34 intending to vote for either the QS (27 per cent) or the PQ (26 per cent).
The poll was conducted among 5,572 voters across the province online and by phone between Sept. 18 and 17 and has a margin of error of (+/-) 1.3 per cent.
Quebecers head to the polls on Oct. 5.
