Half of Quebecers say their choice not final ahead of fall elections: Léger poll
Posted August 11, 2026 10:14 am.
Last Updated August 11, 2026 5:28 pm.
As the election campaign is about to begin, nearly one in two Quebec voters say they have not yet made a final decision regarding the October 5 election, according to a new Léger/Le Journal/TVA poll.
In this poll, conducted Aug. 7–9, 49 per cent of respondents said their voting choice is not final, and that they may therefore vote for a different party once they are in the voting booth.
Conversely, 48 per cent of participants stated that their choice is final. The remaining three per cent said they did not know or preferred not to answer.
“I have not made up my mind yet. I believe that none of the parties are really talking about the right issues right now. I believe that the French language is being put too forward right now, and there’s other issues like homelessness in the city,” said Andrew Malyk, a Montrealer CityNews spoke to.
Carla said, “I just, I have no idea, and I need to see someone or a party that’s going to say something different.”
Andrei Ryjkov, a Westmount resident, added, “One party was in power for so long, and they didn’t really perform well, I’d say as a Liberal. And another party, there are a few more parties actually, and of course separatists and PQ and leftist parties. So it’s too much choice perhaps.”
“It is a high number; however, it’s a number that’s expected today. Right now we’re coming back from the vacations; people are starting to think about the back-to-school period, getting the supplies for their kids,” said Daniel Tran, the director of communications and governmental relations for Casacom.
“It’s also normal because technically speaking, the elections will be launched by the end of August if all goes well, right? So right now, the questions to be asked to the population hasn’t been asked officially yet.”
According to Léger, this means that “the parties’ ability to retain their current support and convince voters who are still undecided could make all the difference.”
In terms of voting intentions, the Parti Québécois (PQ) remains in the lead with 30 per cent support, a figure that has remained stable since the Léger poll conducted in June.
The Quebec Liberal Party (PLQ) holds onto second place but has dropped three points to 24 per cent. The Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ) comes in third at 20 per cent, down one point from the June poll.
The Quebec Conservative Party remains at 13 per cent support, which puts it in fourth place. Québec solidaire has gained three points, reaching 11 per cent, but remains in fifth place in voting intentions.
In its analysis, Léger notes that the effects of Charles Milliard taking the helm of the PLQ and Christine Fréchette taking the reins of the CAQ appear to be waning.
“It’s good news for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon because he starts as a frontrunner, right. However, by being also a frontrunner, he’s also exposing himself for attacks from his various opponents,” Tran explained.
The poll also showed that the most important issues that will influence voters in the next provincial election are health and social services, the cost of living and purchasing power as well as affordable housing.
“The cost of living, homelessness, the housing crisis, these all seem to me to be… and also with regard to everything related to climate change,” said Chantal, a Westmount resident.
Anne Brisson, another Westmount resident, said, “I’m a professor at Concordia, and I’ve seen so many students have to leave because of housing costs. And I’ve seen people having to leave Quebec because of housing costs. So I think, and maybe that’s particular to the university environment, but I think housing is number one.”
This poll was conducted among 998 Quebecers aged 18 or older who are eligible to vote. Since it was conducted online via Léger’s panel, no margin of error can be assigned to it.
For comparison, a probabilistic sample of this size would have a maximum margin of error of ±3.10 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
–This report by La Presse Canadienne was translated by CityNews